Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.619053 2.869178 3.138076 3.449553 3.801536 4.188258 4.647055
2025-10-26 2.270337 2.610864 3.000565 3.482936 4.068674 4.762924 5.657126
2025-11-02 2.041096 2.430018 2.895673 3.501104 4.277584 5.254141 6.598248
2025-11-09 1.825307 2.230013 2.731325 3.408153 4.314122 5.508839 7.245166
2025-11-16 1.674530 2.090913 2.621814 3.362282 4.391304 5.806961 7.969145
2025-11-23 1.561893 1.988030 2.545445 3.345897 4.496870 6.143508 8.779137
2025-11-30 1.503678 1.950214 2.549219 3.434782 4.752817 6.715845 10.016082
2025-12-07 1.417437 1.866561 2.481542 3.412782 4.839281 7.037489 10.893222
2025-12-14 1.335899 1.783031 2.406561 3.371271 4.888130 7.299923 11.701333
2025-12-21 1.238521 1.670623 2.281927 3.244022 4.788780 7.308115 12.058298
2025-12-28 1.189898 1.624997 2.251027 3.256424 4.911581 7.695026 13.157333
2026-01-04 1.153981 1.595353 2.241166 3.299576 5.086701 8.188074 14.533449
2026-01-11 1.119932 1.567482 2.233551 3.347970 5.279412 8.743044 16.150472
2026-01-18 1.086630 1.538742 2.222568 3.389631 5.464144 9.306186 17.894940
2026-01-25 1.050892 1.504039 2.199628 3.408665 5.608943 9.809414 19.606357
2026-02-01 0.994711 1.434570 2.117003 3.319042 5.544624 9.889933 20.353127
2026-02-08 0.952270 1.384544 2.062857 3.274725 5.560527 10.133647 21.538929
2026-02-15 0.918591 1.346745 2.026480 3.258887 5.628882 10.493970 23.091784
2026-02-22 0.906623 1.343075 2.046185 3.344827 5.904432 11.335423 26.107023
2026-03-01 0.875646 1.306926 2.009078 3.323558 5.961584 11.697987 27.889923
2026-03-08 0.843309 1.267096 1.963600 3.283423 5.975850 11.963344 29.455601
2026-03-15 0.798672 1.205107 1.877105 3.160363 5.805734 11.774223 29.606382
2026-03-22 0.779269 1.184533 1.861655 3.172359 5.924735 12.296576 32.119610